Rousey Unbackable Favourite Against Correia in UFC 190

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This weekend ‘Rowdy’ Ronda Rousey (11-0-0) puts her bantamweight title on the line against Brazilian Bethe ‘Pitbull’ Correia (9-0-0). The bout, UFC 190, will take place in Correia’s home country.

Rousey goes in as an almost unbackable favourite (with some bookmakers offering Rousey as 18-1 on to win), having sailed through her last three fights. But Correia is at least saying she can pull off the upset of five centuries.

If so, Correia will need to be extremely watchful of Rousey’s judo and armbar.

Rousey either dominates or at least equals everyone in her division in all aspects of the MMA game. But she brings something to the table they don’t: Olympic level judo skills and a go-to armbar that is almost impossible to stop.

Rousey has made it almost a habit of setting her opponents up with demolishing stand-up before getting  in close and hurling her opponent to the mat. Once off balance they become easy pickings for Rousey’s speedy transition to an armbar that ends the night.

Everyone knows the armbar is coming, but no one has been able to stop her.

Rousey has finished 82% of her fights by submission. While Correia has finished none in the same way. The Pitbull also gives away 2 inches in height.

Correia’s strengths are her strikes (6.07 significant strikes landed per minute on average) and her takedown defense (80%).

Correia’s KO/TKO percentage is almost par with that of Rousey (22% Correia, 18% Rousey)

Rousey has arguably become the most dominant athlete in any sport. She has often courted controversy, but no one can discredit her achievement as one of the greatest athletes in the modern era.

But, as Anderson Silva showed against Chris Wiedman, no one is untouchable inside the Octagon. Silva wore the mantle of most dominant fighter in the UFC until he was unceremoniously KO’d by Wiedman at 1:18 in the second round of UFC 162.

All it takes is a moment’s distraction.

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